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Scenario Forecasts for the Worldwide and Taiwanese FTTx Industries, 2009 – 2013

December 23, 2008 / Julian Chu

14 Page, Symposium

US$1,720 (Single User License)

Abstract

According to MIC's optimistic-scenario forecasts, worldwide FTTx shipment value is expected to reach NT$2.99 trillion by 2013 (US$98,8 billion; US$1 = NT$33.04), and PON equipment's share of the global total is expected to reach 39%, followed by switch's 25%; using the Bass diffusion model, POM shipment volume is forecasted to reach nine million units by 2013 Affected by the global financial turmoil in 2008, which is likely to continue into 2009, global telecom operators will slow their fiber optical network deployment Fiber optical networks are gradually becoming mature in Japan and Korea, with FTTx becoming mainstream technology; as Western European and North American vendors and governments have taken aggressive moves to deploy FTTx networks, demand for FTTx products is expected to see a boost in these regions

Table of Contents
Forecasting Structure for FTTx Shipment Volume and Value

Global PON Equipment Shipment Volume Forecast by Bass Diffusion Model

Taiwan's FTTx Shipment Value Forecast Based on Different Scenarios, 2008-2013

Key FTTx Trends

Shipment Value Forecast for Taiwanese and Global FTTx Industries: Optimistic Scenario

Shipment Value Forecast for Taiwanese and Global FTTx Industries: Moderate Scenario

Shipment Value Forecast for Taiwanese and Global FTTx Industries: Conservative Scenario

List of Topics
Outlook for the worldwide and Taiwanese FTTx industries for the period 2009-2013 using three different scenarios: optimistic, moderate, conservative

Key trends for the FTTx development in the coming years, including technology, product, economic and market trends

Shipment value forecasts for 2008, 2010, and 2013 for the Taiwanese and worldwide FTTx industries

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