Given the circumstances described above, the leading PC vendors were bound to suffer a negative impact. They have experienced a marked fall in sales. Although this will encourage them to speed up their withdrawal from manufacturing, which will be a boon for Taiwan's OEM businesses, weak demand worldwide will ensure that the benefits from this change are not felt for some time. MIC predicts that total Taiwanese desktop PC shipment volume in 2001 will reach 28.3 million units, representing a growth of 2.4%. As far as production value is concerned, the continuing fall in ASP will result in negative growth of 9.2%. In 2002, the global economy should start to pick up slightly, and the benefits from increased outsourcing of production on the part of the leading PC vendors will begin to make themselves felt. MIC therefore anticipates that in 2002 the Taiwanese desktop PC industry will have total shipment volume of 31.5 million units, representing growth of 11.2% on 2001. MIC anticipates that Taiwanese makers will be able to improve their global logistics systems, increase the percentage of total shipment volume accounted for by whole-system shipments, and provide customers with more value-added, thereby achieving higher profits. MIC forecasts that the Taiwanese desktop PC industry's production value will grow by 8.5% in 2002 (see Figure 9).